- Ingxelo entsha yeBloombergNEF kwimarike yamandla yase-US icebisa ilizwe ukuba linyuse utyalo-mali kumoya nakwilanga ukuze lihlangabezane nethagethi yalo engango-zero ngo-2050.
- Oku kubandakanya ukwandisa amandla elanga ukuya kwi-2.065 TW kunye nomoya, ukuya kwi-3.292 TW
- Ngaphantsi kwe-Net-Zero Scenario, obu buchwephesha bunokunceda ukukhupha ikhabhoni kwamanye amacandelo ngokufakelwa kombane.
- Ngelixa i-IRA ibonelela ngezibonelelo zemali, i-US kufuneka yenze kube lula ukuba izinto ezihlaziyiweyo zikhule ngesiseko esingcono segridi kunye nokwandisa inkxaso kwezinye iitekhnoloji ezivelayo, phakathi kwezinye iingcebiso.
Ikhuthazwa yinkuthazo yezemali enikezelwa phantsi kwe-369 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi zoMthetho wokuNcitshiswa kwexabiso lentengo (IRA), i-US inokuqonda uqoqosho lwe-net-zero ngo-2050 njengoko kujoliswe kuyo kwaye indlela ephantsi kakhulu yokufika apho kukunyusa utyalo-mali kumandla omoya kunye nombane welanga ukufikelela kwi-3.292 TW, kunye ne-solar yedwa accounting ye-2.065 TWGloobergm ye-Tage ye-TWFloo ye-Energy efakiweyo, ithi i-Finance ye-Bloobergm efakiweyo yi-Bloom Bloom.
Impumelelo ye-net-zero, nangona kunjalo, iya kuxhomekeka 'kwimigaqo-nkqubo ecacileyo nengqongqo ye-decarbonization' kuba i-IRA inokwenza kuphela ilizwe lifikelele kwi-40% yokwehla kwezinto ezikhutshwayo ezinxulumene namandla ngo-2035 kunye nama-55% ngo-2050, xa kuthelekiswa no-2021.
in yayo Umbono oMtsha waMandla: US ingxelo, BloombergNEF ithi ngaphandle umoya kunye solar ukukala ukuya kumanqanaba TW njengoko kuqikelelwa phantsi Net-Zero Scenario yayo (NZS), ababhali ingxelo babona obu bugcisa-carbon low-carbon ukukhupha amalahle ngokupheleleyo phambi 2030, nangona igesi yendalo inamathela ngeenxa zonke.
I-BloombergNEF's Senior Associate for US Power Markets, uTara Narayanan ukholelwa ukuba i-US kufuneka ijongane nokuthandana kwayo negesi ukuqinisekisa ukuba amandla ahlambulukileyo angakwazi ukukhupha yonke into.
Ngaphantsi kwengxelo ye-Economic Transition Scenario (ETS) kunye nePolicy Scenario, ababhali baxela ukuba njengoko inkqubo yamandla iyancipha, iinzuzo zokunciphisa ukukhutshwa zidluliselwa kwamanye amacandelo ngombane. Ke ngoko, i-NZS inokuzisa ngakumbi izibonelelo ngenkqubo yamandla e-decarbonized.
"I-IRA yintlawulo ethontsi yebhiliyoni zeedola kwi-decarbonization, kodwa yona, kunye neminye imigaqo-nkqubo, iya kufuna ukuvuselela iitriliyoni zotyalo-mali ukufikelela ku-zero," utshilo uMdibanisi wePolisi eMntla Melika eBloombergNEF, uDerrick Flakoll.
Abahlalutyi bagxininisa i-NZS ibandakanya i-30 yezigidigidi zezigidigidi zotyalo-mali kwi-US inkqubo yamandla phakathi kwe-2022 kunye ne-2050, eyi-1 / 3rd ngaphezu kwesiseko se-$ 22 yezigidigidi kwi-ETS.
Ukufumana umkhondo we-net-zero, bacebisa ilizwe ukuba linyuse ngokukhawuleza utyalo-mali kule minyaka ilishumi izayo ukuya kuthi ga kwi-10 leebhiliyoni zeedola ngo-2032, ukusuka kwi-141 yeebhiliyoni zeedola etyalwe kwitekhnoloji yokutshintsha amandla ngo-2022.
Ngelixa izibonelelo zemali ezibonelelwa yi-IRA zinceda ukuthoba iindleko zetekhnoloji yekhabhoni ephantsi, ukuphuhlisa nokuthengisa itekhnoloji entsha kunye nokudibanisa utyalo-mali lwabucala, ababhali bengxelo bacebisa abaphathi ukuba bathathe uthotho lwamanyathelo ukwandisa impembelelo yabo. Ezinye zezi ngcebiso ziquka:
- Yandisa inkxaso yezemali kubuchwephesha obuvelayo ecaleni kwenkxaso-mali yobugcisa obudala njengomoya kunye nelanga.
- Kukho iikhrayitheriya ezineenjongo ezilungileyo zokugweba isicelo, kodwa ukuthotyelwa kunzima umzekelo, iimfuno zomxholo wasekhaya ezifuna ukuguquguquka njengoko umthamo wasekhaya uya kuthatha iminyaka ukunyusa imveliso.
- Ukukhuthaza ukuhanjiswa kombane kunye nokwakhiwa kwegridi ukuphucula ukusebenza kwegridi kunye nokwandisa ukusetyenziswa kwamandla acocekileyo kwisizwe sonke.
- Ukwenza lula ukwakhiwa kwezinto ezihlaziyiweyo kunye nokugcinwa kwamandla kunye nokunciphisa ukusilela kweeprojekthi.
Kutshanje, iBloombergNEF ikhuphe ingxelo yayo entsha ye-Energy Outlook yaseJapan.
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