Kodwa ngaba imakethi ye-BEV imbi ngokwenene njengoko ezinye zezihloko zibonisa?

Ingxelo evela kwabanye abathengi bethu kwicandelo lonikezelo lweSithuthi soMbane seBattery (BEV) ibonisa ukuba, kwiinyanga zamva nje, ii-odolo zevolumu yezahlulo zihlala zisilela ukufikelela kulindelo oluxelwe kwangaphambili lwe-OEM kwaye, kwezinye iimeko, iintambo zemveliso ziyenziwa. Kodwa ngaba imakethi ye-BEV imbi ngokwenene njengoko ezinye zezihloko zibonisa?
Kunyaka ophelileyo i-Europe's Passenger Vehicle (PV) market BEV ikhule nge-32% ngokukhula okulungileyo kuzo zonke iinyanga ngaphandle kweyoMnga, eyayisuka kwisiseko esiphezulu kakhulu ngoDisemba 2022. Ukukhula okuphunyeziweyo kwakungcono kunezibikezelo ezininzi ezichazwe ekuqaleni konyaka odlulileyo (kwaye ngcono kune-2022), kunye nabanye abalindele ukukhula. Umthamo wokuthengisa we-BEV ungene ngaphantsi kwe-2.1 yezigidi zeeyunithi ezisisiqingatha sesigidi ngaphezulu kunezithengiswe ngo-2022. Ezinye iibrendi ziqhuba ngcono kakhulu kunezinye, ngokuthandwa kuka-MG kunye noTesla baphume phambili njengabadlali abanamandla ngo-2023.

Ngenxa yokuba iziseko ezingundoqo zokutshaja kunye ne-BEV xa ithelekiswa ne-Injini yoKutsha yaNgaphakathi (ICE)/amaxabiso axutyiweyo asengumoya ovuthuzayo, bekulindeleke ukuba amanqanaba okukhula abonwe ukusuka ngo-2019 ukuya ku-2021 aya kuthomalalisa, hayi kancinci kuba abathengi ekwaneliseka kubo ii-BEVs (abatyebileyo, amakhaya aneemoto ezininzi anezixhobo zokutshaja ezingekho ezindleleni.) Ukongeza, amazinga okwamkelwa kobugcisa obutsha athande ukunyuka kwaye ehle ngokuhamba kwexesha njengoko imeko yokusetyenziswa kubo ingakhuli ngokufanayo kodwa ikhula kuthotho lwamanyathelo akhokelela ekugqibeleni ekungeneni okukufutshane ne-100%. Ngokulinganayo, imakethi kule minyaka imbalwa idlulileyo ibiqhutywa yimfuno ngelixa phambi kwaloo ndawo, i-Flight CO2 ekujoliswe kuko ibingumba omkhulu kumazinga aphezulu okukhula kwe-BEV abonwe kwitshathi engentla. Kwezinye ii-OEMs ubuncinci, isicwangciso sexesha eliphakathi se-BEV esakhiwe ngasekupheleni kuka-2022 okanye ekuqaleni kuka-2023 sasinamabhongo angaphezulu, ingakumbi xa kujongwe iintloko zoqoqosho kubathengi abaninzi abafikelela kwincopho yempembelelo yabo ngoku ngenxa yempembelelo eshiyekileyo yokunyuka kwamaxabiso enzala, kunye nomjikelo wokutshintshwa kwemoto.
Kuthekani ngo-2024? Ewe, asilindelanga ukuba abantu baseYurophu, lilonke, bazive betyebile kakhulu kunokuba bebesenza ngo-2023 nangona ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuqhubeka ukwehla kuninzi kwaye kubonakala ngathi inzala inyukile. Imfuno yemoto iyonke kuqikelelwa ukuba izonyuka nje kancinci (+3%) kodwa ukukhula kwe-BEV kuye kwaqhubela phambili ukukhula kwemarike yemoto iminyaka eliqela kwaye silindele okufanayo ngo-2024.
Ukunceda oku ukuba kwenzeke kuya kuba luxinzelelo olusezantsi kumaxabiso aphakathi e-BEV. Izithako zisendaweni yohlobo oluthile lwemfazwe yexabiso. Oku akuyi kuba kumlinganiselo okhohlakeleyo obonwe e-China apho amaxabiso eemoto zeplagi, kwezinye iimeko, athotywe alingana ne-ICE, kodwa kuya kunceda ukutshintsha ii-BEVs. Ii-OEMs zinomda wokuphumeza amanyathelo ajolise ekujongeni amaxabiso ezantsi zisebenzisa enye yeenzuzo eziphilileyo ezenziwe ngexesha lengxaki yetshiphu. Kwaye amaxabiso ebhetri akwindlela esezantsi kunye nebanga lebhetri i-lithium kunye namanye amaxabiso ezinto ezibalulekileyo ngoku abonwa njengakwindlela engcono - uloyiko lokunqongophala kwe-lithium luhlile. Sibona ukuguquguquka kwe-OEM kule ndawo inciphisa inkuthazo yokunciphisa. Iibrendi ezininzi zixele ukuba ziya kubuyisela isibonelelo se-BEV yaseJamani, umzekelo.
Ngaphezulu koku, u-2024 uza kubona ukwaziswa kwaseYurophu kweemodeli ezininzi ezifikelelekayo ze-BEV kwi-euro ukuya kwi-20k yesibiyeli, ezisa abathengi abanohlahlo lwabiwo-mali oluphantsi kunexabiso lentengiselwano eliqhelekileyo le-BEV lee-25k ukuya phezulu. Imodeli yeCasper yakwaHyundai ngumzekelo omhle woku. Ezi moto zifikelelekayo ziya kudityaniswa zezinye iimodeli ezininzi ze-BEV, zinyusa ukhetho lwabathengi. Ke, sihlala sinethemba ngo-40, nangona silindele ukukhula okusezantsi kwentengiso ye-BEV kunokuba kubonwe ngo-2024.
U-Al Bedwell, uMlawuli, i-Global Powertrain, i-GlobalData
Eli nqaku lapapashwa okokuqala kwi-GlobalData's iqonga lophando oluzinikeleyo, iZiko leNgqondo yezeThutho
Umthombo ovela Ngokuzenzekelayo nje
Ukuziphendulela: Ulwazi olubekwe ngasentla lunikezelwa ngu-just-auto.com ngaphandle kwe-Chovm.com. I-Chovm.com ayenzi lumelo kunye neziqinisekiso malunga nomgangatho kunye nokuthembeka komthengisi kunye neemveliso.