- Uphononongo lweLab yaseBerkeley kuthungelwano lwegridi yase-US lubonisa ngaphezu kwe-2 TW isizukulwana kunye nomthamo wokugcina emgceni
- Uninzi lwayo lukhokelwa yilanga kunye ne-947 GW kunye ne-670 GW yokugcina amandla phakathi kobunye ubuchwepheshe.
- Imimandla yokusebenza yegridi emikhulu njengeCAISO kunye nePJM ayonwabisi naziphi na izicelo zoqhagamshelo lwegridi entsha ngeliso lokungasemva.
- Urhulumente kufuneka aphucule iinkqubo zeziko ukuze asuse imigca kwaye athintele ukurhoxiswa
Iinkampani zegridi zase-US zigcwele izicelo zothumelo lothungelwano, zilawulwa ngamandla acocekileyo, ukuba ekupheleni kuka-2022 ibe ngaphezu kwe-2 TW yesizukulwana esipheleleyo kunye nomthamo wokugcina, okhokelwa yi-947 GW ye-PV yelanga, yonke into edlula imali efunekayo ukufikelela kwi-90% yombane wase-US ukusuka kwimithombo ye-carbon ye-zero ngo-2035, uthi uLawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (i-Berkeley Lab).
Ukulandela oku phantse 1 TW amandla elanga emgceni yi-300 GW yomoya wase-onshore oquka i-113 GW yomoya waselwandle, kunye nenye i-670 GW yokugcina amandla. Ugcino lweSolar kunye nebhetri lulodwa lubangela ngaphezulu kwe-80% yomthamo omtsha wokungena emigceni ngo-2022.
Phakathi kweeprojekthi ezixubileyo, kukho I-475 GW ye-solar hybrids, ingakumbi ilanga kunye nebhetri, kunye ne-24 GW yomxube womoya. I-Brekeley Lab ibala ngaphezu kwe-1.25 TW yomthamo wekhabhoni onguziro ofuna ukufikelela kuthumelo e-US. Ukongeza, kukho i-82 GW yendalo kunye ne-1 GW yamalahle nayo emgceni, ngokutsho kweBerkeley Lab yokufunda enesihloko. Kubekwe emgceni: Iimpawu zeZityalo zoMbane ezifuna uThungelwano loQhagamshelwano ukusuka ekupheleni kuka-2022.
Ubuncinci i-62% okanye i-1.26 TW yomthamo opheleleyo emigceni inomhla ocwangcisiweyo we-2025-isiphelo, kubandakanywa ne-695 GW yelanga, ukuza kwi-intanethi ngelixa i-13% okanye i-257 GW sele inesivumelwano soqhagamshelo esenziwayo.
Kodwa akuphelelanga apho. I I-Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) kusenokwenzeka ukuba iqhubele phambili oku kukhula kwizicelo zoqhagamshelo kwixesha elizayo elingekude, ngokutsho kophando.
Ukuhamba ngemigca emikhulu, I-CAISO ayizange yamkele naziphi na izicelo ezitsha zoqhagamshelo kwigridi ngo-2022 ukukwazi ukucima umsebenzi osemva. Nditsho ne-PJM, enye yezona ndawo zinkulu zegridi yelizwe e-US, iye yanqumamisa uphononongo olutsha lokuqhagamshelwa kude kube ngu-2025..
Ngelixa oku kukhomba Inzala yomtyali-mali 'engazange ibonwe ngaphambili' kuphuhliso lwamandla acocekileyo elizweni, ukwanda kokulibaziseka kunye namazinga aphezulu okurhoxiswa alatha kumqobo omkhulu kubaphuhlisi kwezi projekthi, wachaza uMphandi woMgaqo-nkqubo waMandla kwilebhu yaseBerkeley, uJoseph Rand.
Abahlalutyi bayakholelwa uninzi lwesi sikhundla sicetywayo asiyi kwakhiwa ekugqibeleni ecaphula iinkcukacha zeminyaka edlulileyo. Babanga kuphela i-21% yeeprojekthi kunye ne-14% yoqhagamshelwano lokufuna amandla ukusuka kwi-2000 ukuya kwi-2017 yakhiwe ekupheleni kwe-2022.
Izizathu abaziqwalaselayo kolu vavanyo ixesha lokulinda unxibelelwano olukhulayo-phakathi kwesicelo soqhagamshelwano kunye nokusebenza kwezorhwebo-eye yanyuka ukusuka ngaphantsi kweminyaka eyi-2 kwi-2000-2007 ukuya phantse iminyaka emi-4 kulabo bakhiwe kwi-2018-2022.
Kwangaxeshanye, uninzi lweeprojekthi zibonakala zilindile kude kube ziinqanaba zamva zenkqubo yoqhagamshelo ukubuyisela umva. “Ukurhoxiswa kwenqanaba lamva kunokuba yindleko enkulu kubaphuhlisi kwaye kunokuphazamisa uqikelelo olwakhelwe kwezinye iiprojekthi zoqhagamshelo lwezifundo, okunokubakho ukulibazisa ezinye iiprojekthi, "wachaza uMbhali oBambiseneyo uRose Strauss.
Omnye umhlalutyi weBerkeley Lab uJulie Kemp uthe. “Ukusilela okukhulu, ukwanda kwamaxesha okulinda, kunye namazinga aphezulu okurhoxa emigceni acebisa ukukhula konxibelelwano kunye nemingeni yothumelo kwaye kuqaqambise kufuneka kuphuculwe iinkqubo zeziko. "
Uphononongo luyafumaneka ukuze ukhutshelwe simahla kwiBerkeley Lab's website.
Kuphononongo lwangaphambili ngalo mbandela, iBerkeley Lab yayithe amandla elanga angama-462 GW alinde uqhagamshelo lwegridi e-US ekupheleni kuka-2020.
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