Ixesha Eliphezulu Licacisiwe: Iingcaciso eziphambili kunye nendlela yokulawula

Igama elithi "iinyanga zokulahla" yijargon yoshishino lwefilimu olunxibelelanisa ulindelo olusezantsi lokuphendula kwefilimu, ngakumbi kwiinyanga ezimbini zokuqala zonyaka. Kwelinye icala, okuchasene neenyanga zokulahlwa kwenkunkuma iya kuba lixesha lokukhutshwa kwencopho, apho izitudiyo zicwangcisa ezona filimu zilindelekileyo kunye nebhajethi ephezulu ukwenza imali ekunyukeni kwabaphulaphuli. 

Ngapha koko, ixesha lokuphela konyaka liyinto ekhoyo phantse kuwo onke amashishini. Kwishishini lolungiselelo kunye nokuhanjiswa kweenqanawa, umzekelo, iimpembelelo zamaxesha onyaka aphezulu zinokubonakala ngakumbi. Ngokungafaniyo nomzi bhanyabhanya, apho amaxesha onyaka aphezulu anokucingeleka, iinkampani zolungiselelo kufuneka zijongane noluhlu olubanzi lweemveliso ezinamaxesha onyaka onyaka aphezulu ahambayo, zandisa iziphumo zexesha eliphambili lolungiselelo. Qhubeka ufunda ukuze ufumanise ukuba leliphi ixesha elithathwa njengencopho kulungiselelo lolungiselelo, amaxesha alo aqhelekileyo unyaka wonke, kunye nendlela yokulawula iimfuno kunye nemingeni yexesha lonyaka eliphakamileyo.

Isiqulatho
Yintoni ixesha lonyaka?
Ixesha eliphezulu lonyaka wonke
Imingeni ephambili yexesha lonyaka
Izicwangciso-qhinga zokulawula ixesha lonyaka
Ukutyhutyha iincopho

Yintoni ixesha lonyaka?

Igama elithi "ixesha eliphakamileyo" liyazichaza kwaye lithe ngqo: libhekisa nje kwelona xesha lixakekileyo lonyaka kulo naliphi na ishishini, imveliso, okanye inkonzo yokuthengisa. Isebenza kuyo nantoni na eqhutywa ngokwamaxesha onyaka, ekwimfuno ephezulu, okanye umda womthamo njengoko ezi zinto zisesichengeni kakhulu kwiziphumo zomjikelo wexesha lonyaka ophambili.

Ngolwandiso olufanayo, ixesha lexesha eliphambili kulungiselelo lolungiselelo limele elona xesha lixakekileyo enyakeni, eliphawulwa kukunyuka okubalulekileyo kwemfuno yeenkonzo zothutho. Amaxesha amaninzi, la maxesha onyaka aphezulu anokucingeleka ngokusekwe kwiziganeko ezithile kunye neepateni zembali. Ukuchonga la maxesha encopho unyaka wonke, umntu kufuneka aqale aqonde izinto ezinegalelo kuwo. Oyena mqhubi uqhelekileyo wexesha eliphakamileyo kwiinkonzo zonikezelo yimfuno yabathengi. Ngaloo ndlela, phantse naziphi na izicwangciso zentengiso okanye iimpembelelo zoluntu ezonyusa inkcitho enkulu yabathengi zinokuqalisa ixesha lonyaka eliphakamileyo.

Amaxesha ohlukeneyo eeholide kunye neminyhadala, umzekelo, aphakathi kwamaxesha aphambili apho amashishini ahlukeneyo asungula imisebenzi yokukhuthaza kunye nentengiso ukuvuselela ukuziphatha kokuthenga kwamaxesha onyaka. Ngamaxesha anjalo, abathengi nabo badla ngokuphendula ngomdla ngakumbi kwezi nzame zokwazisa ngokuhambelana nempembelelo yoluntu ehlala inxulumanisa amaxesha eeholide kunye neendibano kunye nemisebenzi yokwabelana ngezipho, okukhokelela ngokwendalo ekwandeni kwemfuno yoluhlu olubanzi lweemveliso. Kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuba amaxesha eeholide apha akabhekiseli kuphela kwiiholide zikawonke-wonke kodwa aquka neeholide zesikolo xa abazali besamkela ngakumbi izibonelelo ezahlukeneyo zokubuyela esikolweni.

Ukongeza kwiiholide zesiNtu kunye namaxesha eeholide, olunye uhlobo olubalulekileyo lwesiganeko sehlabathi jikelele-esidla ngokubonwa "njengeentsuku zefestive" zanamhlanje ezingezizo ezisemthethweni - likwanegalelo ekwandiseni ixesha lehlabathi lolawulo lolungiselelo. Ezi ziganeko ziqhutywa ikakhulu kukwandiswa kwe-ecommerce, exhaswa zizibonelelo ezahlukeneyo zokuthengisa ngaphandle kweintanethi. Umzekelo, uLwesihlanu omnyama kunye neCyber ​​​​ngoMvulo yimizekelo ebalaseleyo "yeminyhadala yokuthenga kwihlabathi liphela" eyayibandakanya abathengisi base-US kodwa ukusukela oko yasasazeka kubathengisi behlabathi kunye neevenkile ezininzi ze-ecommerce.

Kwangaxeshanye, ukhuphiswano oluqatha kunye nobukho obukhulayo beentengiso ezahlukeneyo zentlalo kunye ne-ecommerce ziphakathi kwezinto ezibalulekileyo ezomeleza ngakumbi imfuno yabathengi ngexesha lexesha eliphakamileyo. Idityaniswe nokunyuka kwe izicwangciso zeomnichannel ezidibanisa ngaphandle komthungo zombini iitshaneli ezithengiswayo ezikwi-intanethi kunye nangaphandle kwe-intanethi, ezi ndlela zongeza inkalo entsha kucwangciso lwexesha eliphezulu ngokuguquguquka nokuntsonkotha kwazo.

Okokugqibela, ngaphandle kwamaxesha onyaka anokuxelwa kwangaphambili, iziganeko ezithile zehlabathi ngequbuliso okanye ezingacingelwanga zinokukhokelela encotsheni yamaxesha onyaka encopho engalindelekanga ngenxa yemiqobo yamandla okanye ukunyuka ngequbuliso kwemfuno eqhutywa luloyiko lokuphela kwamayeza. Amaxesha anjalo aphakamileyo angalindelekanga ahlala eqhutywa ziintlekele ezinjengeemfazwe kunye neentlekele zendalo, ezinokubandakanya zombini iimfazwe zokwenyani okanye iingxabano zorhwebo.

Ixesha eliphezulu lonyaka wonke

Unyaka omtsha wamatshayina

Ixesha elide libizwa ngokuba yi Ukufuduka okukhulu konyaka emhlabeni, uNyaka oMtsha waseTshayina (CNY) ngumqhubi omkhulu wexesha eliphakamileyo kwishishini lokuthumela. Oku kubangelwa ubukhulu becala kwixesha leeholide leeveki ezinde, elikhokelela ekuvaleni phantse yonke imigca yemveliso kunye neefektri eTshayina. Ekubeni i-China ifumene iwonga layo "njengefektri yehlabathi" emva kokujoyina UMbutho woRhwebo weHlabathi (i-WTO) ngoDisemba ka-2001 kwaye okwangoku elona lizwe lithumela ngaphandle, impembelelo yoNyaka oMtsha waseTshayina kwixesha eliphakamileyo kwi-logistics ngokungathandabuzekiyo ibalulekile.

Impembelelo kunye neempembelelo zoNyaka oMtsha waseTshayina zifikeleleke kwaye zibanzi kangangokuba ayipheleli nje ukuba phantse yonke imisebenzi yeshishini e-China imise kwaye ibangele ukuphazamiseka kuthungelwano lwezothutho ngexesha le-CNY, kodwa iziphumo zinokwandisa ixesha elide ngaphaya kwexesha leeholide. Uninzi lwabasebenzi bemizi-mveliso nabasezibukweni banokuthatha ukuya kutsho kwiiveki ezintandathu ukuze baphinde baqalise ukusebenza ngenxa yohambo olude lokubuya kwiidolophu zabo. Uninzi luhlala lusebenzisa le holide ende ukuhlengahlengisa indlela yabo yomsebenzi kwaye bafune amathuba amatsha emisebenzi, anokulibazisa ukubuyela kwimveliso epheleleyo.

Ngenxa yale miba, ngenxa yokoyika ukulibaziseka, abahambisi abaninzi bayaleqa ukuthumela iimpahla zabo ngaphambi kokuvalwa kwe-CNY, okubangela utyando olungathandekiyo lwangaphambi kweholide kwimfuno yokuthumela ngenqanawa. Inxalenye embi kakhulu kukuba impembelelo ye-CNY ayiphelelanga e-China okanye amaqabane ayo orhwebo ngokuthe ngqo; iphinda ibuyele kwihlabathi jikelele ngenxa yokudityaniswa kwehlabathi kunye nokuxhomekeka kolungelelwaniso lwehlabathi. 

Iiholide zasehlotyeni

Njengoko sisuka ekuqaleni konyaka sisiya embindini, ushishino lwezothutho ludla ngokujongana nenqanaba elilandelayo lexesha leeholide zehlobo. Oku kungenxa yezinto ezimbini eziphambili: iholide kunye nexesha lokuhamba elibona ukunyuka kwemfuno yokubonelela ngokutya kokufika kwabakhenkethi, kunye nokwanda kwemfuno yempahla enxulumene nemisebenzi yexesha lonyaka, njengeziganeko zangaphandle kunye neemfuno zokuphucula ikhaya kunye negadi. 

Imfuno ephezulu yempahla yamaxesha athile onyaka, idityaniswa nexesha leholide, inokubangela ingxinano kuthungelwano lolungiselelo kunye nokuphazamiseka kushishino lokuthumela ngenqanawa. Ukuchaneka, kubalulekile ukuba uqaphele ukuba ixesha leeholide zasehlotyeni ngoJulayi-Agasti kuMntla weHemisphere kodwa ngoDisemba-Januwari kwi-Hemisphere yaseMzantsi.

Iziganeko zokuthenga zehlabathi

Njengoko sisondela ekupheleni konyaka, uLwesihlanu omnyama kunye neCyber ​​​​ngoMvulo-iziganeko zokuthenga kwihlabathi jikelele emva koMbulelo e-US, ezenzeka phakathi kwasekupheleni kukaNovemba kunye nasekuqaleni kukaDisemba-ziphawula ixesha elilandelayo lexesha elihamba phambili kwishishini lokuthumela ngenqanawa kwihlabathi jikelele. 

Ezi ziganeko, ziqhutywa lunyuselo olubalulekileyo kunye nezaphulelo ezibonelelwa ngabathengisi abahlukeneyo abangekho kwi-intanethi kunye nabathengisi be-intanethi kwihlabathi liphela, bakhokelela ekunyukeni kwemfuno yabathengi, okukhokelela ekwandeni komthamo wempahla kunye nokuxinana. Ngapha koko, ukulawula i-spike enokwenzeka kwimfuno, abathengisi abaninzi bezitena kunye nodaka kunye namaqonga e-ecommerce aqala ukulungiselela ukuthunyelwa kwangoko kwiinyanga ezimbini ngaphambi kwezi ziganeko ukuhlangabezana neemfuno ezilindelekileyo.

Iiholide zokuphela konyaka

Okokugqibela, ixesha elide leholide ngexesha leKrisimesi noNyaka oMtsha, elidla ngokuphawulwa bubuncinane bexesha leeholide leeveki ezi-1 ukuya kwezi-2, liphawula ixesha lokuphela kwexesha eliphakamileyo kwimisebenzi yolungiselelo unyaka wonke. Oku akubangelwanga nje kuphela kukwanda okubalulekileyo kwemisebenzi yokuthengisa, kwi-intanethi nangaphandle kwe-intanethi, kodwa nangenxa yokuncitshiswa kwabasebenzi kushishino lokuthumela ngenqanawa kwihlabathi liphela, njengoko abasebenzi abaninzi bethatha iiholide ezondisiweyo. Ngaphezulu koku, iimeko zemozulu ezimandundu ezihlala zisenzeka ngexesha lokuphela konyaka zingenza mandundu ngakumbi ixesha lonyaka lexesha eliphakamileyo, nto leyo ekhokelela kulibaziseko olongezelelweyo kunye nemingeni yolungiselelo.

Imingeni ephambili yexesha lonyaka

Indlela yokuziphatha yabathengi ekhokelele kwixesha elongeziweyo lencopho kulungiselelo lolungiselelo kule mihla ibonisa imingeni emibini ebalulekileyo: ukunyuka kwamaxabiso omthwalo kunye nokunciphisa umthamo. Ngenene, ixesha lexesha eliphakamileyo kwizinto zokwenziwa kwezinto sele lisanda kakhulu, ngenxa yoncedo olubonelelwe kukuthengwa kwe-ecommerce, evumela abathengi aboyika umngcipheko wokuphuma kwempahla kunye neendleko ezongeziweyo, ngakumbi amaxabiso okuthumela ngexesha lexesha eliphakamileyo, ukuzisa phambili iishedyuli zabo zokuthenga iholide ukunqanda ezi ngxaki.

Kwangaxeshanye, ukwanda okubalulekileyo kwii-odolo ze-ecommerce kunye nokukhetha kwabo iinqanawe ezikhutshiwe, egxininisa amaxesha okuhanjiswa okukhawulezayo kunye nokwandiswa kweenketho zokuhanjiswa kweemayile zokugqibela, kuye kwakhokelela kwimiqulu yeodolo engalindelekanga. Oku kucinezela ngakumbi iindawo zokugcina iimpahla esele zixinene kwaye zigcwele ngamaxesha onyaka aphakamileyo.

Yonke le miba ingaqinisa ngakumbi imingeni kulawulo lokusebenza kunye nobutyebi. Ngexesha lexesha eliphakamileyo, iinkampani zihlala zinyanzeliswa ukuba zijongane nemiceli mngeni enzima yokusebenza ngenxa yesidingo esingenakuthintelwa sezithuthi ezininzi, abasebenzi kunye nezibonelelo. Iiholide zefektri ezinde ziphinda zidibanise le miba yokusebenza, ekhokelela kukuphazamiseka okungenakuthintelwa ekuzaliseni uluhlu kunye nobunzima kulawulo lwesitokhwe.

Ukubuyisela umva inkqubo kunye nolawulo lwembuyekezo yeminye imingeni emibini emikhulu enokuthi ibonakale ngathi yenzeke ngokukhawuleza ngexesha lexesha eliphakamileyo kodwa inokuba ngumngeni ngokulinganayo. Umzekelo, ngexesha leeholide zase-US zika-2023, uphando lubonise ukuba malunga ne-15.4% yezinto ezithengiweyo zabuyiswa, ezixabisa i-150 yeebhiliyoni zeedola. Eyona nto ikhathazayo kukuba malunga ne-24.5 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi zezi mbuyekezo kungenzeka ngenxa yamabango obuqhophololo.

Izicwangciso-qhinga zokulawula ixesha lonyaka

Kwenye yeencwadi zakhe ezithengiswa kakhulu, NguJohn C. Maxwell wakha wabalaselisa umahluko ongundoqo phakathi kokuthatha inyathelo nokuthatha inyathelo: “Ukuba uyakhawuleza, ugxila ekulungiseleleni. Ngokwenene, ucwangciso olusebenzayo olubandakanya ukubhukisha kwangethuba kunye noyilo lwesicwangciso sexesha likaxakeka zonke ngamalungiselelo abalulekileyo okujongana nemingeni eyahlukeneyo yexesha lonyaka.

Ngeli xesha, amashishini kufuneka abele uhlahlo lwabiwo-mali olongezelelweyo kwaye aqinisekise ukuqonda ngokucokisekileyo yonke imimiselo eyimfuneko ukugcina ukuthotyelwa. La malungiselelo abalulekile ekulawuleni amaxabiso aphezulu okuthunyelwa kweenqanawa kunye neemfuneko zezithethe ezinokuba nzima ngakumbi ezihlala zivela ngenxa yeendawo zohambo olude kwixesha elihamba phambili.

Kukwabalulekile ukuba uhlale ubhetyebhetye kwaye ulungele ukwamkela iinketho ezahlukeneyo zokuthumela kunye neendlela. Ukhetho lwexesha elide lohambo lunokuba luncedo ukunqanda ukubhukisha ngokugqithisileyo kunye nemiba engumqobo kwiindlela ezidumileyo. Ngaxeshanye, ucwangciso olucokisekileyo kufuneka luthathele ingqalelo isithinteli kunye izitokhwe zokhuseleko kulawulo lwe-inventri olomeleleyo. 

Jonga kuyo nayiphi na idatha yembali ukuphuhlisa isicwangciso esisebenza ngakumbi nesinokutshintshwa, esinokuba luncedo ngakumbi kwiindlela kunye neshedyuli yocwangciso lokuphucula, kuba ezi nkqubo zihlala zilandela iipatheni ezifanayo zangaphambili. Ngapha koko, kusetyenziswa itekhnoloji ephucukileyo njenge-AI kunye izixhobo zokufunda koomatshini inokunceda ekuphuculeni ukuchaneka koqikelelo lweenkcukacha-manani ngelixa ikwakhuthaza ukuzenzekela, okunexabiso ekulawuleni umthamo omkhulu wokuhambisa ngenqanawa kunye nolungiselelo oluntsonkothileyo ngexesha lexesha eliphakamileyo.

Okokugqibela, ngaphandle kolawulo lwempahla kunye nesicwangciso sothutho oluphezulu, ukusebenzisana nababoneleli ngenqanawa abanamava nabanamava, kunye nokugcina unxibelelwano oluvulekileyo kunye nabathengi kunye nababoneleli nako kubalulekile ukufumana ulwazi oluxabisekileyo kunye nobuchule bokuqinisekisa umsebenzi olungelelanisiweyo kunye. 

Ukutyhutyha iincopho

Ixesha lexesha eliphakamileyo kushishino lwezothutho limele amanye awona maxesha axakeke kakhulu abona ukonyuka okukhulu kwemfuno yezothutho. Ukulawula ngokufanelekileyo kunye nokuhamba ngexesha lonyaka eliphambili kulungiselelo lolungiselelo, ucwangciso lwakwangoko lubalulekile. Ukusebenzisana nabanikezeli bempahla abanamava kunye nokugcina unxibelelwano oluvulekileyo kunye nabathengi kunye nababoneleli nako kubalulekile ekukhuthazeni imisebenzi ehambelanayo. Ukwamkelwa kobuchwephesha obukwinqanaba eliphezulu njenge-AI kunye nokufunda koomatshini kunokuncedisa ngakumbi kuqikelelo oluchaneke ngakumbi lwemfuno kunye nokuphucula i-automation kwimisebenzi yolungiselelo.

Phonononga ulwazi oluphuhlileyo lolungiselelo kunye nezicwangciso zobuchwephesha zoshishino lwehoseyile kwi I-Chovm.com ifundeka. Qalisa uhambo lokukhangela ulwazi oluguqulayo namhlanje ngokujonga iqonga lethu rhoqo ukuze uhlale uhlaziywa ngeendlela zamva nje kushishino oluthe xhaxhe kunye nolungiselelo.