Ngenkulungwane yenkulungwane yexabiso elilinganisiweyo lamandla (LCOE) kwi-PV yelanga iya kuba yi-$ 0.021 / kWh, ingxelo entsha yenkampani yokulawula umngcipheko i-DNV iqikelela. Ireyithi yokufunda yesola kuqikelelwa ukuba iya kuhla ukusuka kwi-26% ukuya kwi-17% ngo-2050.
Ngo-2050 ixabiso elilinganisiweyo lamandla (LCOE) ye-PV yelanga iya kuba yi-$ 0.021 / kWh, umbhalisi wamazwe ngamazwe kunye nenkampani yokulawula ingozi i-DNV, esekelwe eNorway, iqikelela kwingxelo entsha epapashwe namhlanje. I-Energy Transition Outlook 2023 - uxwebhu olunamaphepha angama-211 oluchaza iindlela zamandla ahlaziyekayo kwihlabathi nakwingingqi kude kube phakathi kwenkulungwane - iprofetha ezinye ii-LCOE zesolar ze-LCOE ziya kuba sele kufutshane ne-$0.020/kWh ngo-2025.
Ukunciphisa iindleko zotyalo-mali lweyunithi, ngoku ixabisa i-$ 870 / kW, ibangele ukuhla, ingxelo ithi. "Njengoko ukufakelwa kwePV yelanga kuqhubeka ngokuphindwe kabini, la manani kufuneka ehle, ehla ngaphantsi kwe-$ 700 / kW kungekudala emva kuka-2030 kwaye ehle kakhulu ukuya kwi-$ 560 / kW ngo-2050."
Izinga lokufunda kwilanga kuqikelelwa ukuba liza kuhla ukusuka kwi-26% ukuya kwi-17% ngo-2050, kunye nenani elipheleleyo njengeenxalenye zeendleko "zilungelelanisa ukuhla kweendleko." Embindini wenkulungwane, i-PV yelanga iya kugcina indawo yayo njengomthombo wamandla angabizi kakhulu emhlabeni, kunye nomthamo odibeneyo we-15.3 TW - ukukhula okuphindwe ka-13 ukusuka kwi-2022. Kodwa njengoko ilanga likhula ngoko kuya kugcinwa, kunye nengxelo echazayo, "Siqikelela ukuba uninzi lwezongezo zesolar yehlabathi ukudibanisa ukugcinwa".
I-Energy Transition Outlook 2023 ilindele ukuba ilanga lifikelele kuma-54% omthamo wokuvelisa ofakelweyo ngowama-2050, kodwa umele kuphela ama-39% ombane owenziweyo wehlabathi. Olu xwebhu luthi: “Ukusebenza okanye umzi-mveliso womthamo wezikhululo zamandla elanga ulandela emva kweminye imithombo yamandla ahlaziyekayo njengomoya namandla ombane, nangona kunjalo, oyena nobangela wokwanda ngokukhawuleza kwesola kukuhla kweendleko.”
I-DNV ilindele ukuba i-China kunye ne-United States ziqhubeke zikhokela ukufakwa kwe-PV yelanga yehlabathi kumashumi amabini anesiqingatha alandelayo, nangona kunjalo, omabini la mazwe aya kufumana "ukudibanisa okuncinci" ngo-2050 njengoko efikelela kwi-saturation yokufakela. I-Indiya, uMbindi Mpuma kunye noMntla Afrika baya kukhwela kwi-hierarchy yelanga, phantse kathathu izabelo zabo, ukusuka kwi-6% kunye ne-3% ngo-2022 ukuya kwi-14% kunye ne-12% phakathi kwenkulungwane, ngokulandelanayo.
Ukuthatha i-Solar ukuthatha indawo yokwenziwa kwamafutha efosili kuya kwahluka kwilizwe ngalinye nangemigaqo-nkqubo eyahlukeneyo, kunye nengxelo exela kwangaphambili ukodlula ukuveliswa kwamafutha elanga eYurophu ngo-2030 ngenxa yommandla, “i-ajenda ekhokelayo yehlabathi yokususa ikhabhoni kunye nomgaqo-nkqubo oxhasayo welanga.” Kodwa oku "kunyuka kakhulu kwilanga" kuya kuba nefuthe kwezinye iijenereyitha zamandla ahlaziyekayo kunye necandelo lenyukliya, okukhokelela ekwehleni okuncinci kwezabelo.
Amandla e-non-fossil fuel - i-PV yelanga, umoya, amandla e-hydropower, i-bioenergy kunye nenyukliya - kulindeleke ukuba yenze i-52% yomxube wamandla osisiseko ngo-2050, oku kuqikelelo olwahlukileyo kuqikelelo lwe-DNV luka-2022, ingxelo entsha yokujonga ithi.
*Inqaku lihlaziywe ngo-Okthobha 11 ukucacisa ukuba umthamo we-PV we-cumulative wehlabathi uya kufikelela kwi-15.3 TW ngo-2050, kwaye kungekhona i-8.8 TW, njengoko besitshilo ngaphambili.
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