8 TW umgomo ngo-2030 manje usungakwazi ukufinyeleleka, kodwa udinga usekelo lwezezimali: GSC & SPE
Umgomo we-2 TW umele ingqophamlando embonini ye-solar PV yomhlaba wonke kanye nomhlaba wamandla avuselelekayo njengoba kuthathe iminyaka emi-2 kuphela ukuthi umhlaba ufeze lokhu. I-1 TW yokuqala ithathe iminyaka engama-68 ukuza. (Ikhredithi Yesithombe: I-Global Solar Council)
Izitoreji Eziyinhloko
- I-GSC kanye ne-SPE balinganisela umthamo ofakiwe we-solar PV emhlabeni wonke ukuze uzuze ingqopha-mlando engu-2 TW emasontweni asanda kwedlula.
- Kuhlanganisa cishe ama-solar panels ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-7; imboni isekelwe yi-1.1 TW yamandla okukhiqiza
- Ukuze kufinyelelwe umgomo we-8 TW COP28, idinga ukusekelwa ngezimali ezilinganayo
- I-GSC ithi ihlela ukwethula i-International Solar Finance Group e-COP29 ukukhuthaza ukuxoxisana nomkhakha wezezimali.
Ngemva kokuthatha iminyaka engu-68 ukufinyelela ingqopha-mlando engu-1 TW kusukela ngo-1954 kuya ku-2022, imakethe ye-solar PV yomhlaba wonke yathatha iminyaka engu-2 kuphela (2022-2024) ukufeza isikali esilandelayo se-TW ukufeza ingqopha-mlando engu-2 TW, ezinsukwini ezimbalwa ngaphambi kweNgqungquthela yama-29 Yamaqembu (COP29), ngokusho kweGlobal) Solar Council (Slar) YaseYurophu (Slar and Europe).
Ingqophamlando ye-2 TW ifinyelelwe emasontweni asanda kwedlula, ngokwezilinganiso zabo, 'ngokuphambene nesizinda sikamongameli kaDonald Trump e-US' (bheka i-Fate Of US Solar PV Industry Ngaphansi kukaDonald Trump 2.0). Ubuchwepheshe be-solar PV bufakazele kanjalo.
Bedonsela ukunaka kubukhulu balesi senzakalo esiyingqopha-mlando, bathi le 2 TW ilingana nesamba somthamo kagesi ofakiwe waseNdiya, e-US nase-UK ehlangene. Alinganiselwa ku-7 bhiliyoni afakiwe amaphaneli elanga amele leli khono anganika amandla amakhaya alinganiselwa ku-1 bhiliyoni ngokusekelwe esilinganisweni somhlaba wonke sokusebenzisa amandla ezindlini angu-3,500 kWh/ngonyaka kanye nesici somthamo esingu-20%.
"Inqubomgomo yokucabanga phambili, ubuhlakani bezimboni, izifaki zelanga ezisebenza kanzima eziyizigidi eziyisi-7 kanye nobuchwepheshe obuguquguqukayo nobunamandla konke kusifikise kulesi sikhathi," kusho isikhulu se-GSC uSonia Dunlop.
Okuhlosiwe okulandelayo ukuzuza umthamo we-solar PV ongu-8 we-TW ngo-2030, okusho ukungeza i-TW ngonyaka kuze kube ngu-1 njengoba umhlaba uphishekela umgomo wokuphinda kathathu amandla avuselelekayo afakwe ku-2030 TW. Ngokombiko we-IRENA, i-solar PV iwukuphela kobuchwepheshe osemgudwini wokufinyelela umgomo wabo ongu-11.2 TW ekupheleni kwale minyaka eyishumi (bona I-Tripling Renewables Ngo-2030 Idinga Utshalomali Lwezigidigidi eziyi-1.5/Ngonyaka).
Umthamo we-solar PV okhona emhlabeni usekelwa yi-1.1 TW yamandla okukhiqiza emhlabeni jikelele; Nokho, ukuntuleka kwezimali kuyisithiyo ekufezeni umgomo 8 TW.
Imboni yeSolar PV manje isibeke amehlo ayo kumgomo we-8 TW ngo-2030 odinga ukuthi i-1 TW yengezwe ngonyaka, ngokusho kwezilinganiso. (Isikweletu Sesithombe: I-Global Solar Council)
“Ukuze sifike lapho sidinga ukuvula uxhaso lwezimali futhi sehlise izindleko zezimali zamaphrojekthi elanga, ikakhulukazi eGlobal South. Uma izindleko zekhephithali manje seziku-15%, sidinga ukuwehlisela ku-5% noma ngaphansi. Yilokhu esizosebenza ngakho eCOP29 Baku,” kuchaza uDunlop.
Ku-COP29, i-GSC ihlela ukwethula i-International Solar Finance Group njengengxoxo yomhlaba wonke 'yokuqala ngqa' phakathi kwemboni ye-solar PV kanye nomkhakha wezezimali. Inhloso ukuvala igebe lezezimali phakathi kwesifiso sokuvelela kanye nokuthunyelwa.
USihlalo we-GSC kanye noMqondisi Wezindaba Zomhlaba kwa-SPE Máté Heisz wanezela, “Sidinga ngokushesha ukwesekwa kohulumeni kazwelonke nabatshalizimali ukuze balethe umgomo wethu ophindwe kathathu ovuselelekayo. Isikhathi sokuletha wonke umuntu ohambweni lwethu lokushintsha amandla ahlanzekile.”
Ukwesekwa kokutshalwa kwezimali kufanele futhi kugeleze kumaphrojekthi elanga, uchungechunge lokuhlinzekwa kwempahla kanye nokuthuthukiswa kwengqalasizinda. Kanye nokuxhaswa ngezimali, impumelelo ehlosiwe ye-8 TW izophinda idinge u-1.5 TW womthamo wokugcina umhlaba wonke kanye nokwakhiwa kwengqalasizinda yegridi engu-25 km, ngokusho kwabahlaziyi.
Umbiko wakamuva we-Bloomberg New Energy Finance umemezele ngokugqamile ukuthi umhlaba ungahlangabezana nenhloso ye-COP28 ye-11 TW yamandla avuselelekayo esebenzisa i-solar kuphela, kodwa ukuze kukhule okusimeme nobunye ubuchwepheshe bamandla avuselelekayo kufanele bukhule futhi (bona i-BNEF: I-Solar Can Triple Global Renewables Capacity Ngo-2030).
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